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Statistical Rethinking

Statistical Rethinking by Richard McElreath

by Richard McElreath

Hacker Approved

The most recommended of 5 probability textbooks

Recommended as an accessible, practical Bayesian statistics introduction and causal modeling reference. Critics say it assumes existing statistics proficiency and reads as written to impress professors.

Recommended as an accessible, practical Bayesian statistics introduction and causal modeling reference. Critics say it assumes existing statistics proficiency and reads as written to impress professors.

10 people gave an opinion

recommend it
10
criticize it
0
approval share
100%
Each figure is one person. RecommendsCriticizes

Recommended in 6 of 13 months

  1. November 2025: not recommended
  2. December 2025: recommended
  3. January 2026: not recommended
  4. February 2026: recommended
  5. March 2026: recommended
  6. April 2026: not recommended
  7. May 2026: not recommended
  8. June 2026: recommended
  9. July 2026: recommended
  10. August 2026: not recommended
  11. September 2026: recommended
  12. October 2026: not recommended
  13. November 2026: not recommended (month in progress)

Why it carries the badge

  • 10 people recommend itNeeds 10 or more, met.
  • Nobody criticizes itNeeds 2 to 1 or better, met.
  • Recommended in 6 of 13 monthsNeeds 4 or more, met.

The same three rules apply to every product, and the badge can’t be bought. How the badge works

What people say about it

The reasons people give, with the number of comments that give each one. Open a reason to read what they said.

Why people recommend it

Each mark is one comment

  • Accessible, intuitive introduction to Bayesian statistics

    “widely regarded as the most accessible intro textbook to Bayesian statistics”

    Comment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

    “practical/applied/intuitive approach to Bayesian Statistics”

    Comment from 23 Mar 2026 in “Bayesian statistics for confused data scientists”
  • Popular introductory Bayesian textbook

    “widely regarded as the most accessible intro textbook to Bayesian statistics”

    Comment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

    “A popular intro Bayesian book Statistical Rethinking has a similar”

    Comment from 16 Sep 2026 in “We do modern frequentist statistics: Using fake-data simulation”

What people warn about

Each mark is one comment

  • Assumes existing statistics proficiency

    “Rethinking is indeed written for people who have some or even a lot of existing proficiency in statistics”

    Comment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”
  • Feels written to impress professors

    “Overall it feels like a textbook written to impress other statistics professors”

    Comment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

Other probability textbooks people recommend

The four most recommended other probability textbooks, with the same counts for each, so you can compare like for like. The tick on each bar marks the 2 to 1 line the badge needs.

Statistical Rethinking by Richard McElreath compared with 4 alternatives
ProductRecommendCriticizeApprovalMonthsOwnedBadge
Statistical Rethinkingby Richard McElreathThis page100100%6—Approved
Think Bayesby Allen Downey40100%3——
Probability Theory: The Logic of Scienceby Jaynes30100%3——
The Elements of Statistical Learningby Hastie, Tibshirani and Friedman30100%2——
Introduction to Probabilityby Blitzstein and Hwang30100%2——
See all 5 probability textbooks, ranked

What people said

9 of the 10 comments that mention it, newest first. Each links to the original comment.

“A popular intro Bayesian book Statistical Rethinking has a similar”

RecommendsComment from 16 Sep 2026 in “We do modern frequentist statistics: Using fake-data simulation”

“Rethinking is indeed written for people who have some or even a lot of existing proficiency in statistics”

MixedComment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

“I like Statistical Rethinking, but unfortunately the solver was very slow and I didn't end up using it much”

RecommendsComment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

“Overall it feels like a textbook written to impress other statistics professors”

MixedComment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

“widely regarded as the most accessible intro textbook to Bayesian statistics”

RecommendsComment from 7 Sep 2026 in “Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?”

“a great reference for causal thinking and modeling”

RecommendsComment from 15 Jul 2026 in “Sleep regularity is a stronger predictor of mortality risk than sleep duration”

“I recommend chapter 14 of Richard McElreath's Statistical Rethinking for a better introduction of GPs.”

RecommendsComment from 9 Jun 2026 in “A visual introduction to kernel functions”

“practical/applied/intuitive approach to Bayesian Statistics”

RecommendsComment from 23 Mar 2026 in “Bayesian statistics for confused data scientists”

“Statistical Rethinking (all editions) is a great book if you're interested in how models work and how science actually works”

RecommendsComment from 16 Dec 2025 on Hacker News

Counts come from 1,795,640 Hacker News comments, November 2025 to November 2026. How we count. Report a mistake.