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Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by Jaynes

by Jaynes

Shares rank 3 of 5 probability textbooks by recommenders

People recommend it for making probability and statistics finally make sense, with deeply significant foundations. The beginning parts are seen as not practically useful.

People recommend it for making probability and statistics finally make sense, with deeply significant foundations. The beginning parts are seen as not practically useful.

3 people gave an opinion

recommend it
3
criticize it
0
approval share
100%
Each figure is one person. RecommendsCriticizes

Recommended in 3 of 13 months

  1. November 2025: not recommended
  2. December 2025: recommended
  3. January 2026: not recommended
  4. February 2026: not recommended
  5. March 2026: recommended
  6. April 2026: not recommended
  7. May 2026: not recommended
  8. June 2026: not recommended
  9. July 2026: recommended
  10. August 2026: not recommended
  11. September 2026: not recommended
  12. October 2026: not recommended
  13. November 2026: not recommended (month in progress)

Why it doesn’t carry the badge

  • 3 people recommend itNeeds 10 or more, not met.
  • Nobody criticizes itNeeds 2 to 1 or better, met.
  • Recommended in 3 of 13 monthsNeeds 4 or more, not met.

The same three rules apply to every product, and the badge can’t be bought. How the badge works

What people say about it

The reasons people give, with the number of comments that give each one. Open a reason to read what they said.

Why people recommend it

Each mark is one comment

  • Makes statistics and probability make sense

    “the book that made statistics and probability theory finally make sense to me”

    Comment from 21 Dec 2025 in “Ask HN: What's a book that fundamentally altered your mental models”
  • Deeply significant foundational content

    “the beginning parts of Jaynes Probability Theory were not useful practically but deeply significant”

    Comment from 17 Jul 2026 in “Mathematics of Data Science”

What people warn about

Each mark is one comment

  • Beginning parts not practically useful

    “the beginning parts of Jaynes Probability Theory were not useful practically but deeply significant”

    Comment from 17 Jul 2026 in “Mathematics of Data Science”

Other probability textbooks people recommend

The four most recommended other probability textbooks, with the same counts for each, so you can compare like for like. The tick on each bar marks the 2 to 1 line the badge needs.

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by Jaynes compared with 4 alternatives
ProductRecommendCriticizeApprovalMonthsOwnedBadge
Statistical Rethinkingby Richard McElreath100100%6—Approved
Think Bayesby Allen Downey40100%3——
Probability Theory: The Logic of Scienceby JaynesThis page30100%3——
The Elements of Statistical Learningby Hastie, Tibshirani and Friedman30100%2——
Introduction to Probabilityby Blitzstein and Hwang30100%2——
See all 5 probability textbooks, ranked

What people said

All 3 comments that mention it, newest first. Each links to the original comment.

“the beginning parts of Jaynes Probability Theory were not useful practically but deeply significant”

MixedComment from 17 Jul 2026 in “Mathematics of Data Science”

“read probability theory by Jaynes”

RecommendsComment from 24 Mar 2026 in “Epoch confirms GPT5.4 Pro solved a Frontier Math Open Problem for the first time”

“the book that made statistics and probability theory finally make sense to me”

RecommendsComment from 21 Dec 2025 in “Ask HN: What's a book that fundamentally altered your mental models”

Counts come from 1,795,640 Hacker News comments, November 2025 to November 2026. How we count. Report a mistake.