# Superforecasting by Tetlock and Gardner

4 Hacker News commenters recommended Superforecasting by Tetlock and Gardner and 0 criticized it, November 2025 to November 2026. It was recommended in 4 of 13 months.

**Verdict:** Recommended as an accessible starting point for learning how good forecasters think, including using outside views to adjust inside views.

## Why people recommend it

- Teaches outside view for forecasting (1 comments): "Read the book Superforecasting to understand how effective forecasters use an outside view to adjust their inside view" ([source](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48151960))
- Good starting point for forecasting (1 comments): "If forecasting interests you, I recommend using it as a jumping off point." ([source](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46236175))
- Builds intuition for forecasting concepts (1 comments): "I did get a much better intuition for what stuff meant after reading 'superforecasting' by tetlock and gardner" ([source](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45864537))

## Alternatives hackers recommend

- [The Cuckoo's Egg by Cliff Stoll](https://hackerapproved.com/p/cuckoo-s-egg.md): 40 recommend
- [Amusing Ourselves to Death by Neil Postman](https://hackerapproved.com/p/amusing-ourselves-to-death.md): 36 recommend
- [The Anxious Generation by Jonathan Haidt](https://hackerapproved.com/p/anxious-generation.md): 24 recommend
- [Bullshit Jobs by David Graeber](https://hackerapproved.com/p/bullshit-jobs.md): 20 recommend
- [Enshittification by Cory Doctorow](https://hackerapproved.com/p/enshittification.md): 19 recommend

## Where to get it

- [See price on Amazon](https://www.amazon.com/dp/1101905565?tag=hackerapprove-20) (affiliate link)
- [Bookshop.org](https://bookshop.org/a/130825/9781101905562) (affiliate link)

## Cite as

Hacker Approved, "Superforecasting by Tetlock and Gardner", https://hackerapproved.com/p/superforecasting/ (counts from 1,795,640 Hacker News comments, November 2025 to November 2026).