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No Silver Bullet

No Silver Bullet by Fred Brooks

by Fred Brooks

Shares rank 15 of 60 articles by recommenders

A 1986 essay arguing there is no single breakthrough that will make software far easier to build, still cited by readers as largely correct about modern tools and AI.

A 1986 essay arguing there is no single breakthrough that will make software far easier to build, still cited by readers as largely correct about modern tools and AI.

9 people gave an opinion

recommend it
8
criticize it
1
approval share
89%
Each figure is one person. RecommendsCriticizes

Recommended in 4 of 13 months

  1. November 2025: not recommended
  2. December 2025: recommended
  3. January 2026: not recommended
  4. February 2026: not recommended
  5. March 2026: not recommended
  6. April 2026: recommended
  7. May 2026: recommended
  8. June 2026: not recommended
  9. July 2026: not recommended
  10. August 2026: recommended
  11. September 2026: not recommended
  12. October 2026: not recommended
  13. November 2026: not recommended (month in progress)

Why it doesn’t carry the badge

  • 8 people recommend itNeeds 10 or more, not met.
  • 8 recommenders for every criticNeeds 2 to 1 or better, met.
  • Recommended in 4 of 13 monthsNeeds 4 or more, met.

The same three rules apply to every product, and the badge can’t be bought. How the badge works

What people say about it

The reasons people give, with the number of comments that give each one. Open a reason to read what they said.

Why people recommend it

Each mark is one comment

  • Argument still holds for today's tools

    “Fred Brooks' No Silver Bullet was correct.”

    Comment from 17 Apr 2026 in “The Future of Everything Is Lies, I Guess: Where Do We Go from Here?”

    “Brooks is still mostly correct.”

    Comment from 31 Dec 2025 in “You're Probably Using AI Like an MBA”
  • Worth reading in full

    “I wish everyone in our industry read 'No Silver Bullet, & Grug-brained Developer'.”

    Comment from 27 Aug 2026 in “Software engineering is about managing complexity”

    “It is worth to have a detailed look into the original essay and its arguments”

    Comment from 9 May 2026 in “Mythical Man Month”

    “I would add "No Silver Bullet" to the reading list.”

    Comment from 17 May 2026 in “I don't think AI will make your processes go faster”

What people warn about

Each mark is one comment

  • Subroutine-as-abstraction assumption is dated

    “fundamentally rested on the assumption that the subroutine was the last word in abstractions”

    Comment from 5 May 2026 in “Lessons for Agentic Coding: What should we do when code is cheap?”
  • Gains from AI are modest

    “Maybe you'll get a 30% boost. Not a 10X boost.”

    Comment from 4 May 2026 in “Let's Talk about LLMs”

Other articles people recommend

The four most recommended other articles, with the same counts for each, so you can compare like for like. The tick on each bar marks the 2 to 1 line the badge needs.

No Silver Bullet by Fred Brooks compared with 4 alternatives
ProductRecommendCriticizeApprovalMonthsOwnedBadge
Programming as Theory Buildingby Peter Naur320100%7—Approved
Ur-Fascismby Umberto Eco18290%8—Approved
Politics and the English Languageby George Orwell140100%5—Approved
The Grug Brained Developer by Carson Gross13193%9—Approved
No Silver Bulletby Fred BrooksThis page8189%4——
See all 60 articles, ranked

What people said

9 of the 10 comments that mention it, newest first. Each links to the original comment.

“I wish everyone in our industry read 'No Silver Bullet, & Grug-brained Developer'.”

RecommendsComment from 27 Aug 2026 in “Software engineering is about managing complexity”

“I would add "No Silver Bullet" to the reading list.”

RecommendsComment from 17 May 2026 in “I don't think AI will make your processes go faster”

“In fact 'No Silver Bullet' says nothing of the sort”

RecommendsComment from 13 May 2026 in “The limits of Rust, or why you should probably not follow Amazon and Cloudflare”

“It is worth to have a detailed look into the original essay and its arguments”

RecommendsComment from 9 May 2026 in “Mythical Man Month”

“fundamentally rested on the assumption that the subroutine was the last word in abstractions”

MixedComment from 5 May 2026 in “Lessons for Agentic Coding: What should we do when code is cheap?”

“There is an entire section about expert systems that foreshadows agents.”

RecommendsComment from 4 May 2026 in “Let's Talk about LLMs”

“Maybe you'll get a 30% boost. Not a 10X boost.”

CriticizesComment from 4 May 2026 in “Let's Talk about LLMs”

“Fred Brooks' No Silver Bullet was correct.”

RecommendsComment from 17 Apr 2026 in “The Future of Everything Is Lies, I Guess: Where Do We Go from Here?”

“Brooks is still mostly correct.”

RecommendsComment from 31 Dec 2025 in “You're Probably Using AI Like an MBA”

Counts come from 1,795,640 Hacker News comments, November 2025 to November 2026. How we count. Report a mistake.