Incerto
Incerto by Nassim Nicholas Talebby Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Shares rank 129 of 152 nonfiction books by recommenders
Recommended for sharpening judgment about randomness, uncertainty and bogus claims; one reader rereads it regularly to refresh that skepticism.
Recommended for sharpening judgment about randomness, uncertainty and bogus claims; one reader rereads it regularly to refresh that skepticism.
2 people gave an opinion
- recommend it
- 2
- criticize it
- 0
- approval share
- 100%
Recommended in 2 of 13 months
- November 2025: not recommended
- December 2025: recommended
- January 2026: not recommended
- February 2026: not recommended
- March 2026: not recommended
- April 2026: not recommended
- May 2026: not recommended
- June 2026: not recommended
- July 2026: not recommended
- August 2026: recommended
- September 2026: not recommended
- October 2026: not recommended
- November 2026: not recommended (month in progress)
Why it doesn’t carry the badge
- 2 people recommend itNeeds 10 or more, not met.
- Nobody criticizes itNeeds 2 to 1 or better, met.
- Recommended in 2 of 13 monthsNeeds 4 or more, not met.
The same three rules apply to every product, and the badge can’t be bought. How the badge works
What people say about it
The reasons people give, with the number of comments that give each one. Open a reason to read what they said.
Why people recommend it
Each mark is one comment
Sharpens skepticism toward bogus claims
“rereading the Incerto by Taleb just to refresh and sharpen my bullshit senses”
Comment from 5 Dec 2025 in “We gave 5 LLMs $100K to trade stocks for 8 months” Good source on anti-models
“On anti-models, read NN Taleb's books (the Incerto )”
Comment from 28 Aug 2026 in “Ask HN: If I am 16 what should I learn? Which books should read?”
Other nonfiction books people recommend
The four most recommended other nonfiction books, with the same counts for each, so you can compare like for like. The tick on each bar marks the 2 to 1 line the badge needs.
| Product | Recommend | Criticize | Approval | Months | Owned | Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Cuckoo's Eggby Clifford Stoll | 40 | 0 | 100% | 8 | — | Approved |
| Amusing Ourselves to Deathby Neil Postman | 36 | 0 | 100% | 9 | 1 yr3 owners | Approved |
| The Anxious Generationby Jonathan Haidt | 24 | 12 | 67% | 10 | — | Approved |
| Bullshit Jobsby David Graeber | 20 | 12 | 63% | 8 | — | — |
| Incertoby Nassim Nicholas TalebThis page | 2 | 0 | 100% | 2 | — | — |
What people said
All 2 comments that mention it, newest first. Each links to the original comment.
“On anti-models, read NN Taleb's books (the Incerto )”
“rereading the Incerto by Taleb just to refresh and sharpen my bullshit senses”
Counts come from 1,795,640 Hacker News comments, November 2025 to November 2026. How we count. Report a mistake.